JEF United Chiba 16%Draw 26%Yokohama F. Marinos 58%Expected goals 0.89 – 1.83
84%
Betarazi pick
Yokohama F. Marinos or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultYokohama F. Marinos to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceYokohama F. Marinos or draw ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: JEF United Chiba v Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League, played at Fukuda Denshi Arena. In the table, JEF United Chiba are 10th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 18 matches; Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th (lower half) with 20.
Current form
JEF United Chiba, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with V-varen Nagasaki, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Yokohama F. Marinos, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Shimizu S-pulse, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Yokohama F. Marinos, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for JEF United Chiba.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended JEF United Chiba 2–3 Yokohama F. Marinos. The last 2 head-to-heads: JEF United Chiba 0 wins, Yokohama F. Marinos 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give JEF United Chiba 0.9 xG, Yokohama F. Marinos 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – JEF United Chiba 16%, draw 26%, Yokohama F. Marinos 58%.
Lower-risk option: Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (84%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (84%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: JEF United Chiba 0–1 Yokohama F. Marinos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
JEF United Chiba16%fair 6.22 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.30
Yokohama F. Marinos58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
2.72Expected goals
0.89JEF United Chiba xG
1.83Yokohama F. Marinos xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: JEF United Chiba 0.9 – 1.8 Yokohama F. Marinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Our pick is Yokohama F. Marinos or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
On our numbers JEF United Chiba have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Yokohama F. Marinos 58%.
How many goals will there be in JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 0–1 Yokohama F. Marinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shimizu S-pulse2
Gamba Osaka2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Kyoto Sanga0
Cerezo Osaka2
V-varen Nagasaki0
Nagoya Grampus3