Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗62% · @1.57
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kashiwa Reysol welcome Nagoya Grampus to Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 17 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Kashiwa Reysol are 8th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 18 matches; Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (among the top four) with 31.
Current form
Kashiwa Reysol, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Port FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game.
Nagoya Grampus, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Fagiano Okayama, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kashiwa Reysol, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Nagoya Grampus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashiwa Reysol 2.2 xG, Nagoya Grampus 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashiwa Reysol 62%, draw 20%, Nagoya Grampus 17%.
Lower-risk option: Kashiwa Reysol or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kashiwa Reysol to win (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Nagoya Grampus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashiwa Reysol62%fair 1.60 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.00
Nagoya Grampus17%fair 5.76 · @4.80
3.28Expected goals
2.20Kashiwa Reysol xG
1.08Nagoya Grampus xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 2.2 – 1.1 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashiwa Reysol to win✗
62%
1.60
1.57
Double chance
Kashiwa Reysol or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Kashiwa Reysol (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Kashiwa Reysol -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
First team to score
Kashiwa Reysol to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Kashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Kashiwa Reysol – last 6
WWDWWL
14 Oct
vs Port FC
5–1
W
9 Oct
vs Vissel Kobe
4–2
W
3 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
3–3
D
23 Sep
vs Imabari
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ Machida Zelvia
4–2
W
16 Sep
@ Jeonbuk Motors
1–2
L
3.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus – last 6
DWWLLL
14 Oct
vs Fagiano Okayama
3–3
D
11 Oct
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
29 Sep
@ Kitakyushu
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ FC Tokyo
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Machida Zelvia
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus.
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Kashiwa Reysol to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nagoya Grampus 17%.
How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shimizu S-pulse2
Gamba Osaka2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Kyoto Sanga0
Cerezo Osaka2
V-varen Nagasaki0