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Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
3–0
FT
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66%Draw 21%Kyoto Sanga 14% Expected goals 2.17 – 0.89
66%
Betarazi pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓66% · @1.35
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the J1 League brings Sanfrecce Hiroshima against Kyoto Sanga at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 18 matches; Kyoto Sanga are 8th (in the drop zone) with 23.

Current form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Matsumoto Yamaga, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Kyoto Sanga, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ratchaburi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Kyoto Sanga.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Kyoto Sanga 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 win, Kyoto Sanga 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.2 xG, Kyoto Sanga 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66%, draw 21%, Kyoto Sanga 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win (66%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kyoto Sanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sanfrecce Hiroshima66%fair 1.52 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.80
Kyoto Sanga14%fair 7.36 · @7.00
3.06Expected goals
2.17Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.89Kyoto Sanga xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.2 – 0.9 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓66%1.521.35
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓86%1.161.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.62
Draw no betSanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapSanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreSanfrecce Hiroshima to score first ✓67%1.48–
Half-time resultSanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

WWWWWW
14 Oct@ Matsumoto Yamaga1–0W
11 Oct@ Tokyo Verdy2–0W
7 Octvs Iwaki4–0W
29 Sep@ Tochigi City2–0W
19 Sep@ Avispa Fukuoka1–0W
12 Sepvs Cerezo Osaka6–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kyoto Sanga – last 6

WLDWWL
13 Octvs Ratchaburi1–0W
10 Octvs Machida Zelvia0–1L
3 Oct@ Machida Zelvia0–0D
23 Sepvs Fujieda MYFC1–0W
19 Sep@ Fagiano Okayama2–1W
15 Sep@ Daejeon Citizen0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Kyoto Sanga v Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–4
27 Feb 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kyoto Sanga 14%.

How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.