Tokyo Verdy 12%Draw 22%FC Tokyo 66%Expected goals 0.60 – 1.79
66%
Betarazi pick
FC Tokyo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the J1 League brings Tokyo Verdy against FC Tokyo at Ajinomoto Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Tokyo Verdy are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 18 matches; FC Tokyo are 2nd (among the top four) with 37.
Current form
Tokyo Verdy, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sanfrecce Hiroshima, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
FC Tokyo, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mito Hollyhock, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Tokyo, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Tokyo Verdy.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended FC Tokyo 2–1 Tokyo Verdy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tokyo Verdy 0.6 xG, FC Tokyo 1.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tokyo Verdy 12%, draw 22%, FC Tokyo 66%.
Lower-risk option: FC Tokyo or draw (88%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Tokyo to win (66%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tokyo Verdy 0–1 FC Tokyo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tokyo Verdy12%fair 8.23 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.50
FC Tokyo66%fair 1.51 · @1.67
2.39Expected goals
0.60Tokyo Verdy xG
1.79FC Tokyo xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–215%
1–110%
0–09%
1–29%
0–39%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 0.6 – 1.8 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
Our pick is FC Tokyo to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Tokyo 66%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 0–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shimizu S-pulse2
Gamba Osaka2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Kyoto Sanga0
Cerezo Osaka2
V-varen Nagasaki0
Nagoya Grampus3