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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Blackburn v Middlesbrough: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Ewood Park
2–1
FT
Blackburn 32%Draw 22%Middlesbrough 46% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.67
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗46% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Middlesbrough travel to face Blackburn on Saturday 22 August in the Championship, with Ewood Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Blackburn are 13th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Middlesbrough are 2nd (among the top four) with 29.

Current form

Blackburn, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Wolves, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Middlesbrough, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lincoln, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Blackburn 1.4 xG, Middlesbrough 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Blackburn 32%, draw 22%, Middlesbrough 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blackburn 1–1 Middlesbrough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Blackburn32%fair 3.13 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.35
Middlesbrough46%fair 2.19 · @2.12
3.03Expected goals
1.36Blackburn xG
1.67Middlesbrough xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: Blackburn 1.4 – 1.7 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMiddlesbrough to win ✗46%2.192.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.80 ▲
Draw no betMiddlesbrough (draw no bet) ✗59%1.70–
Asian handicapBlackburn +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.892.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.09
First team to scoreMiddlesbrough to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough ✗27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Blackburn – last 6

DWDWLW
14 Aug@ Wolves2–2D
8 Aug@ Burton Albion2–1W
1 Aug@ Huddersfield1–1D
25 Jul@ Strasbourg2–0W
22 Jul@ Nottingham Forest0–3L
18 Jul@ Longridge Town4–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Middlesbrough – last 6

WWDDLD
15 Augvs Lincoln2–1W
7 Augvs Wrexham1–0W
1 Augvs Espanyol3–3D
18 Jul@ Celtic1–1D
23 May@ Hull City0–1L
12 May@ Southampton1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Blackburn and Middlesbrough.

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?

On our numbers Blackburn have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Middlesbrough 46%.

How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?

Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?

Blackburn vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.