Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: QPR to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultQPR to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceQPR or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
QPR vs Bolton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Championship brings QPR against Bolton at Loftus Road Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, QPR are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Bolton are 18th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
QPR, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Portsmouth, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Bolton, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Preston, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours QPR, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Bolton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give QPR 2.0 xG, Bolton 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – QPR 60%, draw 22%, Bolton 18%.
Lower-risk option: QPR or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: QPR to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was QPR or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: QPR 2–1 Bolton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
QPR60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.60
Bolton18%fair 5.45 · @3.75
3.07Expected goals
2.03QPR xG
1.04Bolton xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: QPR 2.0 – 1.0 Bolton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
QPR to win✗
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
QPR or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.77
Draw no bet
QPR (draw no bet)
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
QPR -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.11
First team to score
QPR to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
QPR ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT QPR / FT QPR✗
39%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
QPR – last 6
WDWWWW
15 Aug
@ Portsmouth
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Millwall
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ AFC Wimbledon
3–2
W
31 Jul
@ Bromley
7–0
W
25 Jul
vs Fiorentina
3–2
W
21 Jul
vs Wycombe
1–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bolton – last 6
WLWDDW
15 Aug
vs Preston
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Sheffield Wednesday
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs NAC Breda
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Fleetwood Town
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Everton
0–0
D
21 Jul
@ Oldham
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between QPR and Bolton.
Our pick is QPR or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win QPR vs Bolton?
On our numbers QPR have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bolton 18%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Bolton?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Bolton?
Our predicted score is QPR 2–1 Bolton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Bolton?
QPR vs Bolton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
