Value bet: Portsmouth to win @ 2.76 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPortsmouth to win ✓40% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Lincoln vs Portsmouth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Lincoln v Portsmouth in the Championship, played at Sincil Bank. In the table, Lincoln are 21st, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Portsmouth are 11th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Lincoln, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Middlesbrough, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Portsmouth, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to QPR, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lincoln, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Portsmouth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lincoln 1.5 xG, Portsmouth 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lincoln 37%, draw 23%, Portsmouth 40%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Portsmouth to win @2.76 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lincoln 1–1 Portsmouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lincoln37%fair 2.72 · @2.48
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.25
Portsmouth40%fair 2.47 · @2.76
3.06Expected goals
1.48Lincoln xG
1.57Portsmouth xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lincoln 1.5 – 1.6 Portsmouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portsmouth to win✓
40%
2.47
2.76 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Portsmouth (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Lincoln +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.10
First team to score
Portsmouth to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Lincoln – last 6
LWLWLL
15 Aug
@ Middlesbrough
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Derby
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Barnsley
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Doncaster
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Grimsby
1–5
L
17 Jul
vs Leyton Orient
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Portsmouth – last 6
LLDDLD
15 Aug
vs QPR
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ West Ham
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ SV Darmstadt 98
0–0
D
29 Jul
@ Farnborough
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Wycombe
1–3
L
18 Jul
@ Bristol Rovers
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Portsmouth.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portsmouth 40%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
Our predicted score is Lincoln 1–1 Portsmouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
Lincoln vs Portsmouth (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Sincil Bank.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
