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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Millwall v Norwich: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · The Den

Millwall

WDWDL
3–0
FT

Norwich

LWDLD
Millwall 47%Draw 22%Norwich 31% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.12
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultMillwall to win ✓47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09

Millwall vs Norwich: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 22 August the Championship brings Millwall against Norwich at The Den. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Millwall are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Norwich are 12th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Millwall, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bristol City, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Norwich, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to West Brom, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Millwall 1–2 Norwich.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Millwall 1.4 xG, Norwich 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Millwall 47%, draw 22%, Norwich 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millwall 1–1 Norwich. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Millwall47%fair 2.15 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Norwich31%fair 3.23 · @3.15
2.57Expected goals
1.45Millwall xG
1.12Norwich xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Millwall 1.4 – 1.1 Norwich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMillwall to win ✓47%2.152.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.73
Draw no betMillwall (draw no bet) ✓60%1.66–
Asian handicapNorwich +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.161.11
First team to scoreMillwall to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Millwall / FT Millwall ✓26%3.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.09–

Recent results

Millwall – last 6

WDWDLL
15 Aug@ Bristol City2–0W
8 Aug@ QPR1–1D
1 Augvs Antwerp1–0W
28 Jul@ Bromley1–1D
25 Jul@ Stevenage0–1L
21 Jul@ Gillingham0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Norwich – last 6

LWDLDW
15 Augvs West Brom1–2L
8 Augvs Milton Keynes Dons4–1W
4 Augvs Cambridge United0–0D
1 Augvs Osasuna1–2L
22 Jul@ AFC Wimbledon0–0D
17 Jul@ FC ST. Gallen3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Millwall v Norwich1–2
Millwall vs Norwich head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub
FT Birmingham2 Bristol City2 159%1.84X25%3.55216%4.10 1.4–0.5xG 1XBirmingham or draw 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Lincoln1 Portsmouth3 137%2.48X23%3.25240%2.76 1.5–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.33 ✓
FT Blackburn2 Middlesbrough1 132%3.30X22%3.35246%2.12 1.4–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.33 ✓
FT Derby2 Cardiff2 164%1.85X22%3.55214%4.00 1.8–0.7xG 1XDerby or draw 86%@1.22 ✓
FT Preston1 Wolves3 119%4.10X25%3.55256%1.84 1.1–2.0xG X2Wolves or draw 81%@1.22 ✓
FT QPR0 Bolton0 160%1.90X22%3.60218%3.75 2.0–1.0xG 1XQPR or draw 82%@1.25 ✓
FT Southampton3 Stoke City1 160%1.63X24%3.95215%4.90 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Swansea0 Sheffield Utd0 141%2.34X23%3.20236%3.05 1.1–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.35 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Millwall vs Norwich?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Millwall vs Norwich?

On our numbers Millwall have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Norwich 31%.

How many goals will there be in Millwall vs Norwich?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Norwich?

Our predicted score is Millwall 1–1 Norwich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Millwall vs Norwich?

Millwall vs Norwich (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Den.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.