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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Swansea v Wrexham: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea

WWDWL
0–0
FT

Wrexham

WLDDL
Swansea 47%Draw 22%Wrexham 31% Expected goals 1.28 – 0.97
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultSwansea to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92

Swansea vs Wrexham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Swansea v Wrexham in the Championship, played at Swansea.com Stadium. In the table, Swansea are 6th, upper half, on 26 points after 15 matches; Wrexham are 15th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Swansea, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Watford, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Wrexham, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Millwall, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Swansea, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Wrexham.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Wrexham 2–0 Swansea.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Swansea 1.3 xG, Wrexham 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Swansea 47%, draw 22%, Wrexham 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swansea 1–1 Wrexham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Swansea47%fair 2.14 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Wrexham31%fair 3.24 · @3.25
2.25Expected goals
1.28Swansea xG
0.97Wrexham xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Swansea 1.3 – 1.0 Wrexham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSwansea to win ✗47%2.142.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.75
Draw no betSwansea (draw no bet)60%1.66–
Asian handicapWrexham +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreSwansea to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Swansea / FT Swansea ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.92–

Recent results

Swansea – last 6

WWDWLW
1 Sepvs Watford2–0W
29 Aug@ Derby3–0W
22 Augvs Sheffield Utd0–0D
15 Aug@ Stoke City2–1W
8 Augvs Birmingham0–1L
1 Augvs Leganes1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Wrexham – last 6

WLDDLL
2 Sep@ Millwall3–0W
28 Augvs Birmingham1–2L
22 Augvs Watford1–1D
17 Aug@ Cardiff1–1D
7 Aug@ Middlesbrough0–1L
2 Augvs Sunderland0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026Wrexham v Swansea2–0
Swansea vs Wrexham head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub
FT Lincoln1 Southampton1 123%3.90X20%3.80257%1.80 1.1–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.62 ✓
FT Preston2 Blackburn1 134%2.40X23%3.10243%2.80 1.3–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.75 ✓
FT Stoke City4 Charlton0 141%2.10X23%3.10236%3.40 1.4–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.80 ✗
FT Burnley1 Bristol City2 161%1.91X24%3.40216%3.70 2.3–1.2xG 1XBurnley or draw 84%@1.25 ✗
FT Millwall4 Bolton0 146%2.00X23%3.20232%3.70 1.6–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.80 ✗
FT Portsmouth2 Cardiff0 139%2.30X21%3.40240%2.75 1.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.60 ✗
FT QPR0 Middlesbrough1 135%3.10X22%3.40243%2.15 1.3–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.62 ✗
FT Sheffield Utd1 Norwich3 142%2.50X22%3.30236%2.50 1.4–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Swansea vs Wrexham?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Swansea vs Wrexham?

On our numbers Swansea have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wrexham 31%.

How many goals will there be in Swansea vs Wrexham?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Wrexham?

Our predicted score is Swansea 1–1 Wrexham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Swansea vs Wrexham?

Swansea vs Wrexham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Swansea.com Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.