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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Blackburn v Cardiff: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Ewood Park
2–1
FT

Cardiff

WLDLL
Blackburn 41%Draw 22%Cardiff 37% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.40
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1

Value bet: Blackburn to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBlackburn to win ✓41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.59

Blackburn vs Cardiff: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cardiff travel to face Blackburn on Saturday 10 October in the Championship, with Ewood Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Blackburn are 13th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Cardiff are 14th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Blackburn, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Portsmouth, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Cardiff, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Charlton, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Blackburn 1.5 xG, Cardiff 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Blackburn 41%, draw 22%, Cardiff 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Blackburn to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blackburn 1–1 Cardiff. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Blackburn41%fair 2.43 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
Cardiff37%fair 2.69 · @2.38
2.88Expected goals
1.48Blackburn xG
1.40Cardiff xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%

From our goals model: Blackburn 1.5 – 1.4 Cardiff expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBlackburn to win ✓41%2.432.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.53
Draw no betBlackburn (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapCardiff +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreBlackburn to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Blackburn / FT Blackburn ✓23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.59–

Recent results

Blackburn – last 6

DWLLDL
19 Sep@ Portsmouth2–2D
12 Sepvs Millwall3–1W
8 Sepvs Sheffield Utd1–2L
5 Sep@ Preston1–2L
1 Sep@ Lincoln0–0D
29 Augvs QPR1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Cardiff – last 6

WLDLLD
19 Sepvs Charlton3–1W
12 Sep@ Bolton0–1L
8 Sepvs Stoke City1–1D
5 Sep@ Portsmouth0–2L
2 Sep@ QPR1–2L
29 Augvs Sheffield Utd2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Blackburn and Cardiff.

Blackburn vs Cardiff head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Cardiff?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Blackburn vs Cardiff?

On our numbers Blackburn have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cardiff 37%.

How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Cardiff?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Cardiff?

Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Cardiff, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Blackburn vs Cardiff?

Blackburn vs Cardiff (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.