West Brom vs Birmingham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: West Brom v Birmingham in the Championship, played at The Hawthorns. In the table, West Brom are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 15 matches; Birmingham are 1st (leading the league) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
West Brom, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Wolves, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Birmingham, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Middlesbrough, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give West Brom 1.3 xG, Birmingham 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – West Brom 39%, draw 23%, Birmingham 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: West Brom 1–1 Birmingham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
West Brom39%fair 2.55 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.10
Birmingham37%fair 2.67 · @2.80
2.56Expected goals
1.30West Brom xG
1.26Birmingham xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: West Brom 1.3 – 1.3 Birmingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
West Brom to win✗
39%
2.55
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
West Brom (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Birmingham +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
West Brom to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT West Brom / FT West Brom✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.16
–
Recent results
West Brom – last 6
LDWWDL
20 Sep
@ Wolves
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs QPR
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Derby
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Watford
1–0
W
2 Sep
vs Charlton
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Middlesbrough
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Birmingham – last 6
DWLDDW
19 Sep
vs Middlesbrough
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Derby
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ Norwich
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Wolves
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs Southampton
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Wrexham
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between West Brom and Birmingham.
What is the prediction for West Brom vs Birmingham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win West Brom vs Birmingham?
On our numbers West Brom have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Birmingham 37%.
How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Birmingham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Birmingham?
Our predicted score is West Brom 1–1 Birmingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is West Brom vs Birmingham?
West Brom vs Birmingham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
