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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Middlesbrough v Wolves: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Riverside Stadium
1–0
FT

Wolves

WLWDL
Middlesbrough 45%Draw 21%Wolves 34% Expected goals 1.89 – 1.64
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64

Middlesbrough vs Wolves: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the Championship brings Middlesbrough against Wolves at Riverside Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Middlesbrough are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Wolves are 4th (among the top four) with 28. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Middlesbrough, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Birmingham, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Wolves, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over West Brom, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Middlesbrough 1.9 xG, Wolves 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Middlesbrough 45%, draw 21%, Wolves 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Middlesbrough 1–1 Wolves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Middlesbrough45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.50
Wolves34%fair 2.93 · @3.00
3.53Expected goals
1.89Middlesbrough xG
1.64Wolves xG
68%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%

From our goals model: Middlesbrough 1.9 – 1.6 Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMiddlesbrough to win ✓45%2.242.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.481.50
Draw no betMiddlesbrough (draw no bet) ✓57%1.77–
Asian handicapWolves +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.89–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
First team to scoreMiddlesbrough to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough ✗27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.64–

Recent results

Middlesbrough – last 6

DDWLWD
19 Sep@ Birmingham2–2D
15 Sepvs Millwall2–2D
12 Sepvs Norwich4–3W
8 Sep@ Crystal Palace0–3L
5 Sep@ QPR1–0W
2 Sep@ Burnley1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Wolves – last 6

WLWDLW
20 Sepvs West Brom1–0W
16 Sep@ Everton0–1L
13 Sep@ Sheffield Utd1–0W
6 Sep@ Birmingham2–2D
1 Sep@ West Ham2–4L
29 Augvs Stoke City4–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Middlesbrough and Wolves.

Middlesbrough vs Wolves head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Wolves?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Middlesbrough vs Wolves?

On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wolves 34%.

How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Wolves?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Wolves?

Our predicted score is Middlesbrough 1–1 Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Middlesbrough vs Wolves?

Middlesbrough vs Wolves (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.