Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultSwansea to win ✓45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.09
Swansea vs Norwich: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Norwich travel to face Swansea on Saturday 10 October in the Championship, with Swansea.com Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Swansea are 6th, upper half, on 26 points after 15 matches; Norwich are 12th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Swansea, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lincoln, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Norwich, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Bolton, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Swansea, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Norwich.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Swansea 1.8 xG, Norwich 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Swansea 45%, draw 22%, Norwich 32%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swansea 1–1 Norwich. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Swansea45%fair 2.21 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Norwich32%fair 3.09 · @2.90
3.25Expected goals
1.78Swansea xG
1.47Norwich xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Swansea 1.8 – 1.5 Norwich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swansea to win✓
45%
2.21
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Swansea (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Norwich +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Swansea to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swansea / FT Swansea✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Swansea – last 6
WWLDWW
19 Sep
@ Lincoln
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Burnley
3–1
W
8 Sep
@ Southampton
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Wrexham
0–0
D
1 Sep
vs Watford
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Derby
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Norwich – last 6
LLLWWL
20 Sep
vs Bolton
3–4
L
17 Sep
@ Manchester City
0–5
L
12 Sep
@ Middlesbrough
3–4
L
9 Sep
vs Birmingham
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Sheffield Utd
3–1
W
1 Sep
@ Stoke City
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swansea and Norwich.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Swansea vs Norwich?
On our numbers Swansea have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Norwich 32%.
How many goals will there be in Swansea vs Norwich?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Norwich?
Our predicted score is Swansea 1–1 Norwich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Swansea vs Norwich?
Swansea vs Norwich (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Swansea.com Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
