Bolton 36%Draw 23%Stoke City 41%Expected goals 1.53 – 1.66
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultStoke City to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.55
Bolton vs Stoke City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Bolton v Stoke City in the Championship, played at Toughsheet Community Stadium. In the table, Bolton are 18th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Stoke City are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bolton, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Norwich, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Stoke City, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sheffield Utd, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stoke City, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Bolton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bolton 1.5 xG, Stoke City 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bolton 36%, draw 23%, Stoke City 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bolton 1–1 Stoke City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bolton36%fair 2.77 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Stoke City41%fair 2.42 · @2.50
3.19Expected goals
1.53Bolton xG
1.66Stoke City xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Bolton 1.5 – 1.7 Stoke City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✓
41%
2.42
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Draw no bet
Stoke City (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Bolton +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Stoke City to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✓
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.55
–
Recent results
Bolton – last 6
WWLLLL
20 Sep
@ Norwich
4–3
W
12 Sep
vs Cardiff
1–0
W
8 Sep
vs West Ham
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Millwall
0–4
L
1 Sep
@ Sheffield Utd
2–3
L
29 Aug
vs Lincoln
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stoke City – last 6
WWDWWL
19 Sep
vs Sheffield Utd
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Watford
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ Cardiff
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Charlton
4–0
W
1 Sep
vs Norwich
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Wolves
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolton and Stoke City.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Bolton vs Stoke City?
On our numbers Bolton have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stoke City 41%.
How many goals will there be in Bolton vs Stoke City?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Stoke City?
Our predicted score is Bolton 1–1 Stoke City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Bolton vs Stoke City?
Bolton vs Stoke City (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
