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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Charlton v Bristol City: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · The Valley

Charlton

LDDLD
1–1
FT

Bristol City

WWLLW
Charlton 31%Draw 23%Bristol City 45% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.40
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultBristol City to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33

Charlton vs Bristol City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the Championship brings Charlton against Bristol City at The Valley. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Charlton are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Bristol City are 17th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Charlton, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cardiff, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Bristol City, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Crystal Palace, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bristol City, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Charlton.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Charlton 1–2 Bristol City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Charlton 1.1 xG, Bristol City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Charlton 31%, draw 23%, Bristol City 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlton 1–1 Bristol City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Charlton31%fair 3.18 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Bristol City45%fair 2.21 · @2.25
2.50Expected goals
1.10Charlton xG
1.40Bristol City xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Charlton 1.1 – 1.4 Bristol City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBristol City to win ✗45%2.212.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.80
Draw no betBristol City (draw no bet)59%1.69–
Asian handicapCharlton +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreBristol City to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bristol City / FT Bristol City ✗26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.33–

Recent results

Charlton – last 6

LDDLDW
19 Sep@ Cardiff1–3L
12 Sepvs Portsmouth0–0D
9 Sepvs QPR0–0D
5 Sep@ Stoke City0–4L
2 Sep@ West Brom1–1D
29 Augvs Preston1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Bristol City – last 6

WWLLWW
3 Oct@ Crystal Palace2–0W
18 Sepvs Watford1–0W
15 Sepvs Lincoln0–1L
12 Sep@ Southampton1–4L
5 Sep@ Burnley2–1W
1 Sep@ Preston3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Charlton v Bristol City1–2
Charlton vs Bristol City head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub
FT Swansea2 Norwich1 145%2.25X22%3.30232%2.90 1.8–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.62 ✓
FT West Brom0 Birmingham1 139%2.50X23%3.10237%2.80 1.3–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.75 ✗
FT Blackburn2 Cardiff1 141%2.70X22%3.40237%2.38 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.53 ✓
FT Bolton1 Stoke City2 136%2.62X23%3.25241%2.50 1.5–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.62 ✓
FT Derby1 Wrexham1 133%2.80X23%3.10244%2.45 1.2–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.80 ✓
FT Middlesbrough1 Wolves0 145%2.15X21%3.50234%3.00 1.9–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✗
FT Preston0 Millwall1 134%2.80X23%3.30244%2.38 1.5–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.67 ✗
FT Sheffield Utd3 Lincoln0 141%2.15X23%3.10236%3.25 1.1–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Charlton vs Bristol City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Charlton vs Bristol City?

On our numbers Charlton have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bristol City 45%.

How many goals will there be in Charlton vs Bristol City?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Bristol City?

Our predicted score is Charlton 1–1 Bristol City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Charlton vs Bristol City?

Charlton vs Bristol City (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Valley.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.