Value bet: Blackburn to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBlackburn to win ✓40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Blackburn vs Wrexham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Wrexham travel to face Blackburn on Saturday 24 October in the Championship, with Ewood Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Blackburn are 13th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Wrexham are 15th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Blackburn, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to West Brom, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Wrexham, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Preston, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Blackburn 1.5 xG, Wrexham 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Blackburn 40%, draw 23%, Wrexham 36%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Blackburn to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blackburn 1–1 Wrexham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Blackburn40%fair 2.49 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.10
Wrexham36%fair 2.75 · @2.60
2.91Expected goals
1.50Blackburn xG
1.41Wrexham xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Blackburn 1.5 – 1.4 Wrexham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blackburn to win✓
40%
2.49
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.83
Draw no bet
Blackburn (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Wrexham +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Blackburn to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Blackburn / FT Blackburn✓
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Blackburn – last 6
LWWDWL
17 Oct
@ West Brom
2–3
L
13 Oct
@ Bristol City
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Cardiff
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Portsmouth
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Millwall
3–1
W
8 Sep
vs Sheffield Utd
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Wrexham – last 6
WLDWLD
17 Oct
vs Preston
4–1
W
13 Oct
vs West Brom
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Derby
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Southampton
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ West Ham
0–6
L
8 Sep
vs Burnley
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blackburn and Wrexham.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Blackburn vs Wrexham?
On our numbers Blackburn have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wrexham 36%.
How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Wrexham?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Wrexham?
Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Wrexham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Blackburn vs Wrexham?
Blackburn vs Wrexham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
