Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSheffield Utd to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceSheffield Utd or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Sheffield Utd vs Derby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sheffield Utd welcome Derby to Bramall Lane for a Championship fixture on Saturday 24 October (12:30 WAT). In the table, Sheffield Utd are 10th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Derby are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sheffield Utd, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bristol City, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Derby, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Stoke City, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sheffield Utd, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Derby.
Head to head
When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Derby 1–2 Sheffield Utd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sheffield Utd 1.7 xG, Derby 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sheffield Utd 57%, draw 22%, Derby 20%.
Lower-risk option: Sheffield Utd or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sheffield Utd or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sheffield Utd 1–0 Derby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sheffield Utd57%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Derby20%fair 4.97 · @4.00
2.64Expected goals
1.73Sheffield Utd xG
0.91Derby xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Sheffield Utd 1.7 – 0.9 Derby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
Our pick is Sheffield Utd or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
On our numbers Sheffield Utd have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Derby 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
Our predicted score is Sheffield Utd 1–0 Derby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sheffield Utd vs Derby?
Sheffield Utd vs Derby (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Bramall Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
