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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Portsmouth v Millwall: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Fratton Park
2–1
FT
Portsmouth 40%Draw 23%Millwall 37% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.42
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultPortsmouth to win ✓40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.64

Portsmouth vs Millwall: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Millwall travel to face Portsmouth on Saturday 24 October in the Championship, with Fratton Park the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Portsmouth are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Millwall are 16th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Portsmouth, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wolves, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Millwall, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lincoln, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Portsmouth, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Millwall.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Millwall 1–3 Portsmouth.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portsmouth 1.5 xG, Millwall 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Portsmouth 40%, draw 23%, Millwall 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portsmouth 1–1 Millwall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portsmouth40%fair 2.50 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Millwall37%fair 2.72 · @2.80
2.91Expected goals
1.49Portsmouth xG
1.42Millwall xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%

From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.5 – 1.4 Millwall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortsmouth to win ✓40%2.502.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.75 ▲
Draw no betPortsmouth (draw no bet) ✓52%1.92–
Asian handicapMillwall +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scorePortsmouth to score first48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth ✗23%4.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.64–

Recent results

Portsmouth – last 6

DWWLDD
20 Oct@ Wolves1–1D
17 Oct@ Norwich1–0W
14 Octvs Sheffield Utd3–2W
11 Oct@ Southampton0–1L
19 Sepvs Blackburn2–2D
12 Sep@ Charlton0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Millwall – last 6

DLWDDL
17 Octvs Lincoln2–2D
13 Octvs Swansea0–1L
10 Oct@ Preston1–0W
19 Sepvs West Ham2–2D
15 Sep@ Middlesbrough2–2D
12 Sep@ Blackburn1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Millwall v Portsmouth1–3
Portsmouth vs Millwall head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Millwall?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?

On our numbers Portsmouth have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Millwall 37%.

How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Millwall?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Millwall?

Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Millwall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Portsmouth vs Millwall?

Portsmouth vs Millwall (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.