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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stoke City v Bristol City: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Bet365 Stadium
0–0
FT
Stoke City 44%Draw 23%Bristol City 33% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.27
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultStoke City to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15

Stoke City vs Bristol City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the Championship brings Stoke City against Bristol City at Bet365 Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Stoke City are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 15 matches; Bristol City are 17th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Stoke City, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Derby, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Bristol City, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sheffield Utd, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Stoke City, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Bristol City.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stoke City 1.5 xG, Bristol City 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stoke City 44%, draw 23%, Bristol City 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stoke City 1–1 Bristol City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stoke City44%fair 2.29 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Bristol City33%fair 3.03 · @2.90
2.77Expected goals
1.50Stoke City xG
1.27Bristol City xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Stoke City 1.5 – 1.3 Bristol City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStoke City to win ✗44%2.292.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.73
Draw no betStoke City (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapBristol City +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreStoke City to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stoke City / FT Stoke City ✗25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.15–

Recent results

Stoke City – last 6

WLWWWD
17 Oct@ Derby1–0W
13 Octvs Middlesbrough2–3L
10 Oct@ Bolton2–1W
19 Sepvs Sheffield Utd2–1W
12 Sep@ Watford2–1W
8 Sep@ Cardiff1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bristol City – last 6

LLDWWL
17 Octvs Sheffield Utd0–1L
13 Octvs Blackburn0–1L
10 Oct@ Charlton1–1D
3 Oct@ Crystal Palace2–0W
18 Sepvs Watford1–0W
15 Sepvs Lincoln0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Bristol City v Stoke City2–0
Stoke City vs Bristol City head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Bristol City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Stoke City vs Bristol City?

On our numbers Stoke City have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bristol City 33%.

How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Bristol City?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Bristol City?

Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–1 Bristol City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Stoke City vs Bristol City?

Stoke City vs Bristol City (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bet365 Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.