Lincoln 33%Draw 22%Burnley 45%Expected goals 1.34 – 1.61
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Burnley to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBurnley to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Lincoln vs Burnley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Lincoln v Burnley in the Championship, played at LNER stadium. In the table, Lincoln are 21st, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Burnley are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Lincoln, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Millwall, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Burnley, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Wolves, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lincoln 1.3 xG, Burnley 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lincoln 33%, draw 22%, Burnley 45%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Burnley to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lincoln 1–1 Burnley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lincoln33%fair 3.01 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Burnley45%fair 2.22 · @2.40
2.95Expected goals
1.34Lincoln xG
1.61Burnley xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Lincoln 1.3 – 1.6 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burnley to win✗
45%
2.22
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Draw no bet
Burnley (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Lincoln +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Burnley to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burnley / FT Burnley✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.00
–
Recent results
Lincoln – last 6
DLLLWW
17 Oct
@ Millwall
2–2
D
14 Oct
vs West Ham
0–6
L
10 Oct
@ Sheffield Utd
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Swansea
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Bristol City
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Preston
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 6
LDWDLD
16 Oct
vs Wolves
1–2
L
13 Oct
vs Charlton
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Watford
4–0
W
19 Sep
vs Derby
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Swansea
1–3
L
8 Sep
@ Wrexham
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Burnley.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Lincoln vs Burnley?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Burnley 45%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Burnley?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is Lincoln 1–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lincoln vs Burnley?
Lincoln vs Burnley (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at LNER stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
