Value bet: Swansea to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSwansea to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.59
QPR vs Swansea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Swansea travel to face QPR on Saturday 24 October in the Championship, with Loftus Road the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, QPR are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Swansea are 6th (upper half) with 26. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
QPR, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Birmingham, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Swansea, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to West Ham, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Swansea, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for QPR.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended QPR 1–2 Swansea.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give QPR 1.1 xG, Swansea 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – QPR 36%, draw 23%, Swansea 41%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Swansea to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: QPR 1–1 Swansea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
QPR36%fair 2.75 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.20
Swansea41%fair 2.46 · @2.70
2.32Expected goals
1.12QPR xG
1.20Swansea xG
58%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: QPR 1.1 – 1.2 Swansea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
On our numbers QPR have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Swansea 41%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Swansea?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Swansea?
Our predicted score is QPR 1–1 Swansea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Swansea?
QPR vs Swansea (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
