Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultCardiff to win ✓39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Cardiff vs Birmingham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Birmingham travel to face Cardiff on Saturday 24 October in the Championship, with Cardiff City Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Cardiff are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Birmingham are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
Cardiff, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Middlesbrough, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Birmingham, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over QPR, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Birmingham, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Cardiff.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff 1.5 xG, Birmingham 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff 39%, draw 21%, Birmingham 39%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff 1–1 Birmingham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cardiff39%fair 2.53 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.50
Birmingham39%fair 2.54 · @2.40
3.00Expected goals
1.50Cardiff xG
1.50Birmingham xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cardiff 1.5 – 1.5 Birmingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✓
39%
2.53
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
Cardiff (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Birmingham +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Cardiff to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
Cardiff – last 6
DWLWLD
17 Oct
@ Middlesbrough
2–2
D
13 Oct
vs Watford
5–1
W
10 Oct
@ Blackburn
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Charlton
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bolton
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Stoke City
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Birmingham – last 6
WWWDWL
17 Oct
vs QPR
3–0
W
13 Oct
vs Preston
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ West Brom
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Middlesbrough
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Derby
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ Norwich
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff and Birmingham.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cardiff vs Birmingham?
On our numbers Cardiff have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Birmingham 39%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs Birmingham?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Birmingham?
Our predicted score is Cardiff 1–1 Birmingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cardiff vs Birmingham?
Cardiff vs Birmingham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
