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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

West Ham v Southampton: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · London Stadium
2–3
FT
West Ham 59%Draw 21%Southampton 21% Expected goals 2.13 – 1.19
79%
Betarazi pick

West Ham or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultWest Ham to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceWest Ham or draw ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

West Ham vs Southampton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: West Ham v Southampton in the Championship, played at London Stadium. In the table, West Ham are 9th, upper half, on 23 points after 15 matches; Southampton are 7th (upper half) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

West Ham, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Swansea, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Southampton, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bolton, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Aug 2026) it ended Southampton 1–4 West Ham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give West Ham 2.1 xG, Southampton 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – West Ham 59%, draw 21%, Southampton 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: West Ham or draw (79%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was West Ham or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: West Ham 2–1 Southampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

West Ham59%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.00
Southampton21%fair 4.85 · @4.33
3.32Expected goals
2.13West Ham xG
1.19Southampton xG
66%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: West Ham 2.1 – 1.2 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWest Ham to win ✗59%1.711.67
Double chanceWest Ham or draw ✗79%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.44
Draw no betWest Ham (draw no bet) ✗74%1.35–
Asian handicapSouthampton +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.74–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
First team to scoreWest Ham to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultWest Ham ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT West Ham / FT West Ham ✗38%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

West Ham – last 6

WWDDLW
17 Oct@ Swansea1–0W
14 Oct@ Lincoln6–0W
9 Octvs QPR1–1D
19 Sep@ Millwall2–2D
15 Sepvs Fulham2–3L
11 Sepvs Wrexham6–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Southampton – last 6

DWWLWW
17 Octvs Bolton0–0D
14 Oct@ Norwich1–0W
11 Octvs Portsmouth1–0W
19 Sep@ Wrexham1–2L
12 Sepvs Bristol City4–1W
8 Sepvs Swansea3–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Aug 2026Southampton v West Ham1–4
West Ham vs Southampton head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for West Ham vs Southampton?

Our pick is West Ham or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win West Ham vs Southampton?

On our numbers West Ham have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Southampton 21%.

How many goals will there be in West Ham vs Southampton?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Southampton?

Our predicted score is West Ham 2–1 Southampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is West Ham vs Southampton?

West Ham vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at London Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.