Accrington ST vs Grimsby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grimsby travel to face Accrington ST on Tuesday 1 September in the League Two, with The Wham Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Accrington ST are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Grimsby are 6th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Accrington ST, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Walsall, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Grimsby, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fleetwood Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Grimsby, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Accrington ST.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.1 xG, Grimsby 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 28%, draw 21%, Grimsby 51%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–1 Grimsby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Accrington ST28%fair 3.64 · @3.65
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.50
Grimsby51%fair 1.96 · @1.97
2.64Expected goals
1.06Accrington ST xG
1.58Grimsby xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.1 – 1.6 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✗
51%
1.96
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Draw no bet
Grimsby (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Accrington ST +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Grimsby to score first
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Accrington ST – last 6
LLDLDW
29 Aug
@ Walsall
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Exeter City
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Colchester
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Crewe
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Sheffield Wednesday
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Bury
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Grimsby – last 6
DDWLWW
29 Aug
vs Fleetwood Town
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Walsall
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Exeter City
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Blackpool
1–3
L
4 Aug
vs Grimsby Borough
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Wigan
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Grimsby.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Grimsby?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Grimsby 51%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Grimsby?
Accrington ST vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
