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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bristol Rovers v Colchester: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Memorial Stadium
2–0
FT
Bristol Rovers 61%Draw 21%Colchester 18% Expected goals 2.17 – 1.10
82%
Betarazi pick

Bristol Rovers or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Bristol Rovers to win @ 1.81 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBristol Rovers to win ✓61% · @1.81
Double chanceBristol Rovers or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Bristol Rovers vs Colchester: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 1 September: Bristol Rovers v Colchester in the League Two, played at Memorial Stadium. In the table, Bristol Rovers are 17th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Colchester are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Bristol Rovers, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Crawley Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Colchester, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rochdale, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bristol Rovers 2.2 xG, Colchester 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bristol Rovers 61%, draw 21%, Colchester 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bristol Rovers or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Bristol Rovers to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bristol Rovers or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bristol Rovers 2–1 Colchester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bristol Rovers61%fair 1.64 · @1.81
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.60
Colchester18%fair 5.58 · @4.10
3.27Expected goals
2.17Bristol Rovers xG
1.10Colchester xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 2.2 – 1.1 Colchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBristol Rovers to win ✓61%1.641.81 ▲
Double chanceBristol Rovers or draw ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.73 ▲
Draw no betBristol Rovers (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapBristol Rovers -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.12
First team to scoreBristol Rovers to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultBristol Rovers ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers ✓40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Bristol Rovers – last 6

WDWLLD
29 Aug@ Crawley Town2–0W
25 Augvs Chelsea U212–2D
22 Augvs Newport County5–3W
15 Aug@ York2–3L
8 Augvs Peterborough0–1L
21 Jul@ Forest Green2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Colchester – last 6

WWDLLL
29 Augvs Rochdale1–0W
22 Augvs Oldham2–1W
15 Aug@ Accrington ST2–2D
8 Augvs Southampton0–2L
1 Aug@ Stevenage0–1L
28 Julvs Charlton0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Colchester.

Bristol Rovers vs Colchester head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Colchester?

Our pick is Bristol Rovers or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Colchester?

On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Colchester 18%.

How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Colchester?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Colchester?

Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 2–1 Colchester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Bristol Rovers vs Colchester?

Bristol Rovers vs Colchester (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.