Value bet: Shrewsbury to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRochdale to win ✓45% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Rochdale vs Shrewsbury: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shrewsbury travel to face Rochdale on Tuesday 1 September in the League Two, with Spotland Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Rochdale are 20th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Shrewsbury are 15th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rochdale, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colchester, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Shrewsbury, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Salford City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Shrewsbury, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Rochdale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rochdale 1.4 xG, Shrewsbury 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rochdale 45%, draw 22%, Shrewsbury 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Shrewsbury to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rochdale 1–1 Shrewsbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rochdale45%fair 2.21 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.45
Shrewsbury33%fair 3.00 · @3.25
2.49Expected goals
1.37Rochdale xG
1.12Shrewsbury xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Rochdale 1.4 – 1.1 Shrewsbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rochdale to win✓
45%
2.21
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Draw no bet
Rochdale (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Shrewsbury +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Rochdale to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rochdale / FT Rochdale✓
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
Rochdale – last 6
LLLLDL
29 Aug
@ Colchester
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Crawley Town
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Newport County
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Bradford
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Tranmere
2–2
D
28 Jul
vs FC Halifax Town
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Shrewsbury – last 6
WLLLDD
29 Aug
vs Salford City
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Fleetwood Town
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Barnet
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Tranmere
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Salford City
1–1
D
28 Jul
@ Hereford
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Shrewsbury.
What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Shrewsbury?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Rochdale vs Shrewsbury?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shrewsbury 33%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Shrewsbury?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Shrewsbury?
Our predicted score is Rochdale 1–1 Shrewsbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rochdale vs Shrewsbury?
Rochdale vs Shrewsbury (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Spotland Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
