Value bet: Walsall to win @ 3.10 – our chance 43% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWalsall to win ✗43% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.91
Crewe vs Walsall: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 1 September the League Two brings Crewe against Walsall at Alexandra Stadium. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Crewe are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 14 matches; Walsall are 3rd (among the top four) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Crewe, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Port Vale, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Walsall, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Accrington ST, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crewe 1.0 xG, Walsall 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crewe 35%, draw 22%, Walsall 43%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Walsall to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.30, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crewe 1–1 Walsall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crewe35%fair 2.88 · @2.24
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Walsall43%fair 2.34 · @3.10
2.16Expected goals
1.00Crewe xG
1.16Walsall xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Crewe 1.0 – 1.2 Walsall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Walsall to win✗
43%
2.34
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.67
Draw no bet
Walsall (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Crewe +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.11
First team to score
Walsall to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Walsall / FT Walsall✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.91
–
Recent results
Crewe – last 6
DLWWWD
29 Aug
@ Port Vale
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Barnsley
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Northampton
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Crawley Town
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Accrington ST
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Chester
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Walsall – last 6
WDDWWD
29 Aug
vs Accrington ST
3–2
W
25 Aug
vs Leyton Orient
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Grimsby
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Gillingham
3–0
W
6 Aug
@ Bristol City
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Notts County
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Walsall.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Crewe vs Walsall?
On our numbers Crewe have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Walsall 43%.
How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Walsall?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Walsall?
Our predicted score is Crewe 1–1 Walsall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Crewe vs Walsall?
Crewe vs Walsall (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
