Cheltenham vs York: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 1 September the League Two brings Cheltenham against York at Whaddon Road. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Cheltenham are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; York are 7th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cheltenham, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Barnet, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
York, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Exeter City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cheltenham 1.3 xG, York 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cheltenham 29%, draw 21%, York 49%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cheltenham 1–1 York. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cheltenham29%fair 3.42 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
York49%fair 2.02 · @1.96
3.03Expected goals
1.28Cheltenham xG
1.75York xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Cheltenham 1.3 – 1.7 York expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York to win✗
49%
2.02
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Draw no bet
York (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Cheltenham +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
1.12
First team to score
York to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York / FT York✗
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Cheltenham – last 6
DLWLLW
29 Aug
@ Barnet
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Swindon Town
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Rotherham
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Charlton
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Milton Keynes Dons
0–2
L
18 Jul
@ Evesham United
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
York – last 6
WDWLLD
29 Aug
vs Exeter City
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Rotherham
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Bristol Rovers
3–2
W
3 Aug
vs Crawley Town
0–2
L
28 Jul
vs Peterborough
1–2
L
24 Jul
vs Al-Ettifaq
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cheltenham and York.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cheltenham vs York?
On our numbers Cheltenham have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and York 49%.
How many goals will there be in Cheltenham vs York?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cheltenham vs York?
Our predicted score is Cheltenham 1–1 York, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cheltenham vs York?
Cheltenham vs York (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Whaddon Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
