Chesterfield vs Gillingham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 1 September: Chesterfield v Gillingham in the League Two, played at SMH Group Stadium. In the table, Chesterfield are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Gillingham are 8th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chesterfield, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rotherham, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Gillingham, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Northampton, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Gillingham, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Chesterfield.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Chesterfield 1–0 Gillingham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 1.5 xG, Gillingham 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 61%, draw 23%, Gillingham 16%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.30, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 1–0 Gillingham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesterfield61%fair 1.64 · @1.54
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.90
Gillingham16%fair 6.33 · @6.00
2.16Expected goals
1.54Chesterfield xG
0.62Gillingham xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.5 – 0.6 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gillingham 16%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–0 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
Chesterfield vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
