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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Accrington ST v Crawley Town: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · The Wham Stadium
3–2
FT
Accrington ST 43%Draw 22%Crawley Town 35% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.36
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2

Value bet: Crawley Town to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAccrington ST to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32

Accrington ST vs Crawley Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Crawley Town travel to face Accrington ST on Saturday 5 September in the League Two, with The Wham Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Accrington ST are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Crawley Town are 24th (in the drop zone) with 9.

Current form

Accrington ST, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Grimsby, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Crawley Town, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Northampton, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Crawley Town, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Accrington ST.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.5 xG, Crawley Town 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 43%, draw 22%, Crawley Town 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Crawley Town to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–1 Crawley Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Accrington ST43%fair 2.33 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Crawley Town35%fair 2.82 · @3.30
2.88Expected goals
1.52Accrington ST xG
1.36Crawley Town xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.5 – 1.4 Crawley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAccrington ST to win ✓43%2.332.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.67
Draw no betAccrington ST (draw no bet) ✓55%1.83–
Asian handicapCrawley Town +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
First team to scoreAccrington ST to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.32–

Recent results

Accrington ST – last 6

DLLDLD
1 Sepvs Grimsby2–2D
29 Aug@ Walsall2–3L
22 Aug@ Exeter City0–2L
15 Augvs Colchester2–2D
8 Aug@ Crewe1–2L
1 Augvs Sheffield Wednesday0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Crawley Town – last 6

DLWLLW
1 Sep@ Northampton1–1D
29 Augvs Bristol Rovers0–2L
22 Aug@ Rochdale2–1W
15 Augvs Crewe0–1L
8 Aug@ Watford0–1L
3 Aug@ York2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Crawley Town.

Accrington ST vs Crawley Town head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Crawley Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Accrington ST vs Crawley Town?

On our numbers Accrington ST have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crawley Town 35%.

How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Crawley Town?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Crawley Town?

Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Crawley Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Accrington ST vs Crawley Town?

Accrington ST vs Crawley Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.