Salford City 61%Draw 24%Port Vale 15%Expected goals 1.54 – 0.59
85%
Betarazi pick
Salford City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Salford City to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSalford City to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceSalford City or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.04
Salford City vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the League Two brings Salford City against Port Vale at Peninsula Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Salford City are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 14 matches; Port Vale are 19th (lower half) with 15. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Salford City, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Newport County, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Port Vale, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Swindon Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Salford City 1.5 xG, Port Vale 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Salford City 61%, draw 24%, Port Vale 15%.
Lower-risk option: Salford City or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Salford City to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Salford City or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salford City 1–0 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Salford City61%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
Port Vale15%fair 6.84 · @4.00
2.13Expected goals
1.54Salford City xG
0.59Port Vale xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Salford City 1.5 – 0.6 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salford City to win✓
61%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Salford City or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.73
Draw no bet
Salford City (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Salford City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Salford City to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salford City / FT Salford City✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.04
–
Recent results
Salford City – last 6
WLLLDD
1 Sep
vs Newport County
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Shrewsbury
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Chesterfield
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Barnet
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Shrewsbury
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Bradford
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
LDDLLW
1 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Crewe
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Tranmere
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Oldham
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ Wolves
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Blackpool
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salford City and Port Vale.
What is the prediction for Salford City vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Salford City or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Salford City vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Salford City have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Port Vale 15%.
How many goals will there be in Salford City vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salford City vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Salford City 1–0 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Salford City vs Port Vale?
Salford City vs Port Vale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Peninsula Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
