Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Grimsby to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGrimsby to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Cheltenham vs Grimsby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Grimsby travel to face Cheltenham on Saturday 5 September in the League Two, with Whaddon Road the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Cheltenham are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Grimsby are 6th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cheltenham, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over York, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Grimsby, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Accrington ST, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cheltenham 1.1 xG, Grimsby 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cheltenham 24%, draw 20%, Grimsby 56%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Grimsby to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cheltenham 1–1 Grimsby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cheltenham24%fair 4.15 · @3.40
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.40
Grimsby56%fair 1.80 · @1.95
3.00Expected goals
1.13Cheltenham xG
1.87Grimsby xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: Cheltenham 1.1 – 1.9 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✗
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Draw no bet
Grimsby (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Cheltenham +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Grimsby to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Grimsby ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Cheltenham – last 6
WDLWLL
1 Sep
vs York
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Barnet
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Swindon Town
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Rotherham
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Charlton
1–3
L
1 Aug
vs Milton Keynes Dons
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Grimsby – last 6
DDDWLW
1 Sep
@ Accrington ST
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Fleetwood Town
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Walsall
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Exeter City
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Blackpool
1–3
L
4 Aug
vs Grimsby Borough
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cheltenham and Grimsby.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Cheltenham have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Grimsby 56%.
How many goals will there be in Cheltenham vs Grimsby?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cheltenham vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Cheltenham 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cheltenham vs Grimsby?
Cheltenham vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Whaddon Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
