Value bet: Crewe to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCrewe to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.20
Crewe vs York: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 5 September the League Two brings Crewe against York at Alexandra Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Crewe are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 14 matches; York are 7th (upper half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Crewe, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Walsall, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
York, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Cheltenham, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Crewe, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for York.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crewe 1.3 xG, York 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crewe 39%, draw 23%, York 39%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Crewe to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crewe 1–1 York. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crewe39%fair 2.58 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
York39%fair 2.59 · @2.40
2.63Expected goals
1.32Crewe xG
1.31York xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Crewe 1.3 – 1.3 York expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crewe to win✗
39%
2.58
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Draw no bet
Crewe (draw no bet)
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
York +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Crewe to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crewe / FT Crewe✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.20
–
Recent results
Crewe – last 6
DDLWWW
1 Sep
vs Walsall
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Port Vale
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Barnsley
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Northampton
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Crawley Town
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Accrington ST
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
York – last 6
LWDWLL
1 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–3
L
29 Aug
vs Exeter City
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Rotherham
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Bristol Rovers
3–2
W
3 Aug
vs Crawley Town
0–2
L
28 Jul
vs Peterborough
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and York.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Crewe vs York?
On our numbers Crewe have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and York 39%.
How many goals will there be in Crewe vs York?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crewe vs York?
Our predicted score is Crewe 1–1 York, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crewe vs York?
Crewe vs York (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
