Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Barnet to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChesterfield to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Chesterfield vs Barnet: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Chesterfield v Barnet in the League Two, played at SMH Group Stadium. In the table, Chesterfield are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Barnet are 2nd (among the top four) with 26.
Current form
Chesterfield, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gillingham, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Barnet, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Exeter City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Barnet, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Chesterfield.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 1.4 xG, Barnet 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 42%, draw 21%, Barnet 37%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Barnet to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 1–1 Barnet. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesterfield42%fair 2.38 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Barnet37%fair 2.71 · @3.10
2.63Expected goals
1.37Chesterfield xG
1.26Barnet xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.4 – 1.3 Barnet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✗
42%
2.38
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Draw no bet
Chesterfield (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Barnet +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Chesterfield to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Recent results
Chesterfield – last 6
DLWLLD
1 Sep
vs Gillingham
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Rotherham
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Salford City
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
31 Jul
@ Scunthorpe
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Barnet – last 6
DDWWWL
1 Sep
@ Exeter City
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Cheltenham
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Shrewsbury
3–1
W
18 Aug
vs Arsenal U21
5–1
W
15 Aug
vs Salford City
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Cambridge United
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Barnet.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Barnet?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Barnet?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barnet 37%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Barnet?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Barnet?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–1 Barnet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Barnet?
Chesterfield vs Barnet (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
