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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fleetwood Town v Shrewsbury: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Highbury Stadium
2–0
FT
Fleetwood Town 62%Draw 25%Shrewsbury 14% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.57
86%
Betarazi pick

Fleetwood Town or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Fleetwood Town to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFleetwood Town to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceFleetwood Town or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.11

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 5 September the League Two brings Fleetwood Town against Shrewsbury at Highbury Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Fleetwood Town are 16th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Shrewsbury are 15th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Fleetwood Town, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Oldham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Shrewsbury, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Rochdale, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Fleetwood Town, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Shrewsbury.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Aug 2026) it ended Fleetwood Town 4–0 Shrewsbury.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fleetwood Town 1.6 xG, Shrewsbury 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fleetwood Town 62%, draw 25%, Shrewsbury 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Fleetwood Town or draw (86%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Fleetwood Town to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fleetwood Town or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fleetwood Town 1–0 Shrewsbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fleetwood Town62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.25
Shrewsbury14%fair 7.28 · @3.90
2.13Expected goals
1.56Fleetwood Town xG
0.57Shrewsbury xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: Fleetwood Town 1.6 – 0.6 Shrewsbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFleetwood Town to win ✓62%1.621.85 ▲
Double chanceFleetwood Town or draw ✓86%1.161.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.80
Draw no betFleetwood Town (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapFleetwood Town -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreFleetwood Town to score first ✓64%1.55–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fleetwood Town / FT Fleetwood Town ✓38%2.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.11–

Recent results

Fleetwood Town – last 6

DDWDWW
1 Sepvs Oldham1–1D
29 Aug@ Grimsby2–2D
25 Augvs Shrewsbury4–0W
22 Augvs Gillingham0–0D
15 Aug@ Chesterfield1–0W
8 Augvs Chesterfield1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Shrewsbury – last 6

LWLLLD
1 Sep@ Rochdale0–3L
29 Augvs Salford City1–0W
25 Aug@ Fleetwood Town0–4L
22 Augvs Barnet1–3L
15 Aug@ Tranmere0–2L
8 Aug@ Salford City1–1D
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Aug 2026Fleetwood Town v Shrewsbury4–0
Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?

Our pick is Fleetwood Town or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?

On our numbers Fleetwood Town have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shrewsbury 14%.

How many goals will there be in Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?

Our predicted score is Fleetwood Town 1–0 Shrewsbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury?

Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Highbury Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.