Value bet: Northampton to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNorthampton to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.41
Shrewsbury vs Northampton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Northampton travel to face Shrewsbury on Saturday 12 September in the League Two, with The Croud Meadow the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Shrewsbury are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Northampton are 21st (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Shrewsbury, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fleetwood Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Northampton, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Newport County, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Northampton, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Shrewsbury.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shrewsbury 0.9 xG, Northampton 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shrewsbury 36%, draw 23%, Northampton 41%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Northampton to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shrewsbury 0–0 Northampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shrewsbury36%fair 2.78 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Northampton41%fair 2.46 · @2.62
1.80Expected goals
0.86Shrewsbury xG
0.94Northampton xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Shrewsbury 0.9 – 0.9 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northampton to win✗
41%
2.46
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
Northampton (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Shrewsbury +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Northampton to score first✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.41
–
Recent results
Shrewsbury – last 6
LLWLLL
5 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
0–2
L
1 Sep
@ Rochdale
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Salford City
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Fleetwood Town
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Barnet
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Tranmere
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Northampton – last 6
WDDLLD
5 Sep
vs Newport County
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs Crawley Town
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Gillingham
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Crewe
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Brighton U21
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs Swindon Town
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shrewsbury and Northampton.
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury vs Northampton?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Northampton?
On our numbers Shrewsbury have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Northampton 41%.
How many goals will there be in Shrewsbury vs Northampton?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shrewsbury vs Northampton?
Our predicted score is Shrewsbury 0–0 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Shrewsbury vs Northampton?
Shrewsbury vs Northampton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Croud Meadow.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
