Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Walsall to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWalsall to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceWalsall or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Walsall vs Rochdale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Walsall welcome Rochdale to Bescot Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Walsall are 3rd, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Rochdale are 20th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Walsall, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Exeter City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Rochdale, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Gillingham, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Walsall, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Rochdale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Walsall 1.9 xG, Rochdale 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Walsall 64%, draw 22%, Rochdale 14%.
Lower-risk option: Walsall or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Walsall to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Walsall or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Walsall 1–0 Rochdale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Walsall64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
Rochdale14%fair 7.39 · @4.50
2.70Expected goals
1.93Walsall xG
0.77Rochdale xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Walsall 1.9 – 0.8 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Walsall to win✗
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Walsall or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Draw no bet
Walsall (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Walsall -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Walsall to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Walsall ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Walsall / FT Walsall✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Walsall – last 6
DDWDDW
5 Sep
@ Exeter City
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Crewe
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Accrington ST
3–2
W
25 Aug
vs Leyton Orient
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Grimsby
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Gillingham
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rochdale – last 6
LWLLLL
5 Sep
vs Gillingham
1–4
L
1 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Colchester
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Crawley Town
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Newport County
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Bradford
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Walsall and Rochdale.
Our pick is Walsall or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Walsall vs Rochdale?
On our numbers Walsall have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rochdale 14%.
How many goals will there be in Walsall vs Rochdale?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Walsall vs Rochdale?
Our predicted score is Walsall 1–0 Rochdale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Walsall vs Rochdale?
Walsall vs Rochdale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bescot Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
