Accrington ST 39%Draw 22%Cheltenham 39%Expected goals 1.65 – 1.66
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Cheltenham to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCheltenham to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Accrington ST welcome Cheltenham to The Crown Ground for a League Two fixture on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Accrington ST are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Cheltenham are 5th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Accrington ST, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Swindon Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Cheltenham, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chesterfield, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Cheltenham, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Accrington ST.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.6 xG, Cheltenham 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 39%, draw 22%, Cheltenham 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Cheltenham to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–1 Cheltenham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Accrington ST39%fair 2.58 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Cheltenham39%fair 2.54 · @2.80
3.31Expected goals
1.65Accrington ST xG
1.66Cheltenham xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.6 – 1.7 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cheltenham to win✗
39%
2.54
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.62
Draw no bet
Cheltenham (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Accrington ST +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Cheltenham to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cheltenham / FT Cheltenham✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.03
–
Recent results
Accrington ST – last 6
DDDLWD
26 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Sunderland U21
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Newport County
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Barnet
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Crawley Town
3–2
W
1 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cheltenham – last 6
WDDWDW
26 Sep
vs Chesterfield
2–1
W
22 Sep
vs Exeter City
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Colchester
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Crawley Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs York
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Cheltenham.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Cheltenham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Cheltenham?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cheltenham 39%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Cheltenham?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Cheltenham?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Cheltenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Cheltenham?
Accrington ST vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Crown Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
