Rochdale 43%Draw 22%Swindon Town 35%Expected goals 1.37 – 1.19
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultRochdale to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Rochdale vs Swindon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Rochdale v Swindon Town in the League Two, played at Spotland. In the table, Rochdale are 20th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Swindon Town are 13th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Rochdale, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fleetwood Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Swindon Town, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Accrington ST, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Rochdale, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Swindon Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rochdale 1.4 xG, Swindon Town 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rochdale 43%, draw 22%, Swindon Town 35%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rochdale 1–1 Swindon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rochdale43%fair 2.32 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Swindon Town35%fair 2.89 · @2.90
2.56Expected goals
1.37Rochdale xG
1.19Swindon Town xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Rochdale 1.4 – 1.2 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rochdale to win✓
43%
2.32
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Draw no bet
Rochdale (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Swindon Town +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Rochdale to score first✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rochdale / FT Rochdale✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Rochdale – last 6
WDWDLW
26 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
2–1
W
22 Sep
vs Liverpool U21
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Oldham
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Walsall
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Gillingham
1–4
L
1 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Swindon Town – last 6
DLLLLW
26 Sep
vs Accrington ST
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Newport County
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Salford City
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Crystal Palace U21
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ York
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Colchester
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and Swindon Town.
What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Swindon Town 35%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
Our predicted score is Rochdale 1–1 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rochdale vs Swindon Town?
Rochdale vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Spotland.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
