Gillingham 47%Draw 21%Newport County 32%Expected goals 1.54 – 1.21
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultGillingham to win ✗47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Gillingham vs Newport County: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gillingham welcome Newport County to Priestfield Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Gillingham are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Newport County are 14th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gillingham, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to York, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Newport County, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Grimsby, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gillingham 1.5 xG, Newport County 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gillingham 47%, draw 21%, Newport County 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gillingham 1–1 Newport County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gillingham47%fair 2.15 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.40
Newport County32%fair 3.13 · @3.25
2.75Expected goals
1.54Gillingham xG
1.21Newport County xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.5 – 1.2 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gillingham to win✗
47%
2.15
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Gillingham (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Newport County +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Gillingham to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gillingham / FT Gillingham✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Gillingham – last 6
LLWWWD
26 Sep
@ York
0–3
L
22 Sep
vs Cambridge United
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Bristol Rovers
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Tranmere
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Rochdale
4–1
W
1 Sep
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newport County – last 6
WWDDLL
26 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ Swindon Town
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Accrington ST
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Fleetwood Town
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Northampton
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Salford City
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Newport County.
What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Newport County?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gillingham vs Newport County?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newport County 32%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Newport County?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Newport County?
Our predicted score is Gillingham 1–1 Newport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Gillingham vs Newport County?
Gillingham vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
