Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Chesterfield to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChesterfield to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Chesterfield vs Tranmere: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Chesterfield v Tranmere in the League Two, played at Proact Stadium. In the table, Chesterfield are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Tranmere are 11th (upper half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chesterfield, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cheltenham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Tranmere, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Walsall, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 1.8 xG, Tranmere 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 66%, draw 19%, Tranmere 15%.
Lower-risk option: Chesterfield or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Chesterfield to win @1.67 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chesterfield or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 1–0 Tranmere. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesterfield66%fair 1.51 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.90
Tranmere15%fair 6.64 · @4.33
2.44Expected goals
1.78Chesterfield xG
0.66Tranmere xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.8 – 0.7 Tranmere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
66%
1.51
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Chesterfield or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Draw no bet
Chesterfield (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Chesterfield -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Chesterfield to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Chesterfield ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Chesterfield – last 6
LDWWWD
26 Sep
@ Cheltenham
1–2
L
22 Sep
vs Port Vale
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs York
2–0
W
15 Sep
vs Manchester City U21
5–3
W
12 Sep
@ Oldham
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Barnet
3–3
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tranmere – last 6
DWDLWD
26 Sep
vs Walsall
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Exeter City
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Gillingham
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Oldham
2–0
W
1 Sep
vs Rotherham
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Tranmere.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
Our pick is Chesterfield or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Tranmere 15%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–0 Tranmere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Tranmere?
Chesterfield vs Tranmere (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Proact Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
