Colchester vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the League Two brings Colchester against Port Vale at Colchester Community Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Colchester are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Port Vale are 19th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Colchester, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Shrewsbury, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Port Vale, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chesterfield, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colchester 1.2 xG, Port Vale 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colchester 40%, draw 23%, Port Vale 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.78.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colchester 1–1 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colchester40%fair 2.48 · @2.58
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.24
Port Vale37%fair 2.70 · @2.56
2.39Expected goals
1.23Colchester xG
1.16Port Vale xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Colchester 1.2 – 1.2 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win
40%
2.48
2.58
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
1.78
Draw no bet
Colchester (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Port Vale +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
1.03
First team to score
Colchester to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colchester / FT Colchester
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.46
–
Recent results
Colchester – last 6
DLDDLL
26 Sep
@ Shrewsbury
2–2
D
22 Sep
@ Peterborough
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Cheltenham
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Crewe
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
1 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
DLWLLD
22 Sep
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Walsall
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Exeter City
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Salford City
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Swindon Town
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Crewe
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Port Vale.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Colchester vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Colchester have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Port Vale 37%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Port Vale?
Colchester vs Port Vale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Colchester Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
