Value bet: Rotherham to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRotherham to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.17
Exeter City vs Rotherham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rotherham travel to face Exeter City on Saturday 3 October in the League Two, with St James Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Exeter City are 12th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Rotherham are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Exeter City, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bristol Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Rotherham, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Crewe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Exeter City 1.0 xG, Rotherham 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Exeter City 36%, draw 23%, Rotherham 41%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Rotherham to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Exeter City 1–1 Rotherham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Exeter City36%fair 2.75 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Rotherham41%fair 2.44 · @2.62
2.00Expected goals
0.95Exeter City xG
1.05Rotherham xG
55%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Exeter City 1.0 – 1.0 Rotherham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotherham to win✗
41%
2.44
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Rotherham (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Exeter City +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Rotherham to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.17
–
Recent results
Exeter City – last 6
LDDLWD
26 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–1
L
22 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Tranmere
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
8 Sep
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Walsall
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rotherham – last 6
DDWDLD
26 Sep
vs Crewe
1–1
D
22 Sep
@ York
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Northampton
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Salford City
3–3
D
5 Sep
@ Bristol Rovers
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Tranmere
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Rotherham.
What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Rotherham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Exeter City vs Rotherham?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rotherham 41%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Rotherham?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Rotherham?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–1 Rotherham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Rotherham?
Exeter City vs Rotherham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
