Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultGrimsby to win ✗63% · @1.67
Double chanceGrimsby or draw ✗88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Grimsby vs Shrewsbury: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shrewsbury travel to face Grimsby on Saturday 3 October in the League Two, with Blundell Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Grimsby are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Shrewsbury are 15th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Grimsby, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Newport County, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Shrewsbury, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Colchester, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grimsby 1.8 xG, Shrewsbury 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grimsby 63%, draw 24%, Shrewsbury 12%.
Lower-risk option: Grimsby or draw (88%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Grimsby to win (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grimsby 1–0 Shrewsbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grimsby63%fair 1.58 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.70
Shrewsbury12%fair 8.02 · @4.50
2.50Expected goals
1.81Grimsby xG
0.69Shrewsbury xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Grimsby 1.8 – 0.7 Shrewsbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✗
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Grimsby or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Draw no bet
Grimsby (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Grimsby -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Grimsby to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Grimsby ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Grimsby – last 6
LLWWDD
26 Sep
@ Newport County
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Notts County
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Crawley Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Bristol Rovers
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
1 Sep
@ Accrington ST
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Shrewsbury – last 6
DLDWLL
26 Sep
vs Colchester
2–2
D
22 Sep
@ Tranmere
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Crewe
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Northampton
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
0–2
L
1 Sep
@ Rochdale
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grimsby and Shrewsbury.
Our pick is Grimsby to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Grimsby vs Shrewsbury?
On our numbers Grimsby have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shrewsbury 12%.
How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Shrewsbury?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Shrewsbury?
Our predicted score is Grimsby 1–0 Shrewsbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Grimsby vs Shrewsbury?
Grimsby vs Shrewsbury (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
