Colchester vs Gillingham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 November the League Two brings Colchester against Gillingham. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Colchester are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Gillingham are 8th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Colchester, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ipswich Town U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gillingham, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Northampton, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colchester 1.4 xG, Gillingham 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colchester 41%, draw 26%, Gillingham 33%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colchester 1–1 Gillingham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colchester41%fair 2.43 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.30
Gillingham33%fair 3.04 · @3.20
2.61Expected goals
1.37Colchester xG
1.24Gillingham xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Colchester 1.4 – 1.2 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colchester
Gillingham
Attack vs League Two average
-20%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.35
1.28
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colchester to win
41%
2.43
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.73
Draw no bet
Colchester (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Gillingham +0.5 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Colchester to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colchester / FT Colchester
23%
4.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Colchester – last 6
DWLLDD
10 Nov
vs Ipswich Town U21
0–0
D
7 Nov
vs Worcester City
1–0
W
31 Oct
vs Walsall
1–3
L
24 Oct
@ Northampton
0–2
L
20 Oct
@ Chesterfield
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Exeter City
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gillingham – last 6
WLWLDL
10 Nov
@ Northampton
2–1
W
7 Nov
vs Barrow
0–1
L
31 Oct
@ Shrewsbury
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Grimsby
1–4
L
20 Oct
vs Port Vale
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Accrington ST
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Gillingham.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Colchester vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Colchester have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gillingham 33%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Gillingham?
Colchester vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
