Crewe 47%Draw 26%Newport County 27%Expected goals 1.43 – 1.12
74%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultCrewe to win47% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.17
Crewe vs Newport County: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Crewe v Newport County in the League Two, played at Alexandra Stadium. In the table, Crewe are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 14 matches; Newport County are 14th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Crewe, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Wigan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Newport County, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Walsall, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crewe 1.4 xG, Newport County 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crewe 47%, draw 26%, Newport County 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crewe 1–1 Newport County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crewe47%fair 2.14 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.40
Newport County27%fair 3.70 · @3.50
2.55Expected goals
1.43Crewe xG
1.12Newport County xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Crewe 1.4 – 1.1 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Crewe
Newport County
Attack vs League Two average
-9%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.28
1.14
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crewe to win
47%
2.14
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.73
Draw no bet
Crewe (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Newport County +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Crewe to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crewe / FT Crewe
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Crewe – last 6
LWDLLW
10 Nov
vs Wigan
1–2
L
7 Nov
vs AFC Wimbledon
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs Barnet
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Chesterfield
1–5
L
20 Oct
@ Exeter City
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Rochdale
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newport County – last 6
WLWLDD
7 Nov
vs Walsall
3–1
W
3 Nov
vs Crystal Palace U21
1–2
L
30 Oct
vs Chesterfield
4–1
W
24 Oct
@ Cheltenham
0–1
L
20 Oct
@ Rotherham
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs York
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Newport County.
What is the prediction for Crewe vs Newport County?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Crewe vs Newport County?
On our numbers Crewe have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Newport County 27%.
How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Newport County?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Newport County?
Our predicted score is Crewe 1–1 Newport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Crewe vs Newport County?
Crewe vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
