Rochdale welcome York to Spotland Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 14 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Rochdale are 20th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; York are 7th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Rochdale, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fleetwood Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
York, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Bradford, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours York, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Rochdale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rochdale 1.4 xG, York 1.9 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rochdale 26%, draw 21%, York 52%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rochdale 1–1 York. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rochdale26%fair 3.82 · @4.10
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.00
York52%fair 1.91 · @1.70
3.31Expected goals
1.41Rochdale xG
1.90York xG
65%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Rochdale 1.4 – 1.9 York expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rochdale
York
Attack vs League Two average
-3%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
+40%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.68
1.96
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York to win
52%
1.91
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
York (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Rochdale +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.20
First team to score
York to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
York ahead at half-time
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York / FT York
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Rochdale – last 6
DLLLDL
7 Nov
@ Fleetwood Town
1–1
D
3 Nov
vs Doncaster
1–4
L
31 Oct
@ Port Vale
2–4
L
24 Oct
vs Accrington ST
0–5
L
20 Oct
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ Crewe
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
York – last 6
LWLLWD
10 Nov
@ Bradford
0–4
L
7 Nov
vs Northampton
4–0
W
31 Oct
@ Grimsby
2–5
L
27 Oct
@ Barnet
1–3
L
24 Oct
vs Port Vale
2–0
W
20 Oct
vs Accrington ST
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rochdale and York.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Rochdale vs York?
On our numbers Rochdale have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and York 52%.
How many goals will there be in Rochdale vs York?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rochdale vs York?
Our predicted score is Rochdale 1–1 York, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Rochdale vs York?
Rochdale vs York (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Spotland Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
