Port Vale 47%Draw 27%Accrington ST 26%Expected goals 1.31 – 1.07
77%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultPort Vale to win47% · @1.85
Double chancePort Vale or draw74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.77
Port Vale vs Accrington ST: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Accrington ST travel to face Port Vale on Saturday 14 November in the League Two, with Vale Park the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Port Vale are 19th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Accrington ST are 9th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Port Vale, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Scunthorpe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Accrington ST, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Wycombe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Port Vale, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Accrington ST.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 1.3 xG, Accrington ST 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 47%, draw 27%, Accrington ST 26%.
Lower-risk option: Port Vale or draw (74%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 1–1 Accrington ST. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Port Vale47%fair 2.13 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.30
Accrington ST26%fair 3.80 · @3.90
2.38Expected goals
1.31Port Vale xG
1.07Accrington ST xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.3 – 1.1 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Port Vale
Accrington ST
Attack vs League Two average
-22%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.10
1.14
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win
47%
2.13
1.85
Double chance
Port Vale or draw
74%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.86
1.91
Draw no bet
Port Vale (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Accrington ST +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Port Vale to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Port Vale – last 6
WWWLDW
7 Nov
vs Scunthorpe
4–2
W
31 Oct
vs Rochdale
4–2
W
27 Oct
vs Manchester City U21
5–0
W
24 Oct
@ York
0–2
L
20 Oct
@ Gillingham
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Chesterfield
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 6
LDWDWD
7 Nov
vs Wycombe
0–2
L
31 Oct
vs Northampton
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Rochdale
5–0
W
20 Oct
@ York
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Gillingham
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Oldham
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Accrington ST.
What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Accrington ST 26%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–1 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
Port Vale vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
