Salford City 56%Draw 25%Northampton 19%Expected goals 1.54 – 0.75
76%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.33
8/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultSalford City to win56% · @1.67
Double chanceSalford City or draw81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.10
Salford City vs Northampton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 November the League Two brings Salford City against Northampton at Peninsula Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Salford City are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 14 matches; Northampton are 21st (lower half) with 14. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Salford City, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Carlisle, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Northampton, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gillingham, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Salford City, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Northampton.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Salford City 1.5 xG, Northampton 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Salford City 56%, draw 25%, Northampton 19%.
Lower-risk option: Salford City or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salford City 1–0 Northampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Salford City56%fair 1.78 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.60
Northampton19%fair 5.35 · @4.75
2.29Expected goals
1.54Salford City xG
0.75Northampton xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Salford City 1.5 – 0.7 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Salford City
Northampton
Attack vs League Two average
+29%
-35%
Goals conceded vs average
-12%
-30%
Our expected goals here
1.39
0.65
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salford City to win
56%
1.78
1.67
Double chance
Salford City or draw
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Salford City (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Northampton +1.5 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.12
First team to score
Salford City to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salford City / FT Salford City
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
Salford City – last 6
LWWWWW
7 Nov
@ Carlisle
0–1
L
31 Oct
vs Exeter City
2–1
W
26 Oct
@ Walsall
4–2
W
20 Oct
@ Bristol Rovers
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Crawley Town
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Cheltenham
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Northampton – last 6
LLLDWL
10 Nov
vs Gillingham
1–2
L
7 Nov
@ York
0–4
L
3 Nov
vs Oldham
0–1
L
31 Oct
@ Accrington ST
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Colchester
2–0
W
20 Oct
vs Tranmere
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salford City and Northampton.
What is the prediction for Salford City vs Northampton?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Salford City vs Northampton?
On our numbers Salford City have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Northampton 19%.
How many goals will there be in Salford City vs Northampton?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salford City vs Northampton?
Our predicted score is Salford City 1–0 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Salford City vs Northampton?
Salford City vs Northampton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Peninsula Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
