Exeter City 48%Draw 26%Cheltenham 26%Expected goals 1.44 – 0.91
76%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultExeter City to win48% · @2.00
Double chanceExeter City or draw74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.12
Exeter City vs Cheltenham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cheltenham travel to face Exeter City on Saturday 14 November in the League Two, with St James Park the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Exeter City are 12th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Cheltenham are 5th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Exeter City, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Huddersfield, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cheltenham, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Oxford United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Exeter City, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Cheltenham.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Sep 2026) it ended Cheltenham 2–2 Exeter City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Exeter City 1.4 xG, Cheltenham 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Exeter City 48%, draw 26%, Cheltenham 26%.
Lower-risk option: Exeter City or draw (74%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Exeter City 1–0 Cheltenham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Exeter City48%fair 2.10 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.30
Cheltenham26%fair 3.84 · @3.40
2.35Expected goals
1.44Exeter City xG
0.91Cheltenham xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Exeter City 1.4 – 0.9 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Exeter City
Cheltenham
Attack vs League Two average
-29%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-40%
+24%
Our expected goals here
1.36
0.77
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Cheltenham?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Exeter City vs Cheltenham?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cheltenham 26%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Cheltenham?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Cheltenham?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–0 Cheltenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Cheltenham?
Exeter City vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
